More supply than demand for NFL quarterbacks.
Quarterback is the most important position out of all of the sports. Every team dreams of drafting a superstar quarterback and holding onto them for 20 years. Now, it seems like almost every team around the league is comfortable with their current quarterback.
Jameis Winston, Andy Dalton, and Cam Newton have all been free agents at some point this offseason. Dalton recently signed with the Dallas Cowboys and Newton is still on the open market while Winston just agreed to a deal with the New Orleans Saints to become Drew Brees backup after five seasons in Tampa Bay. The former Tampa Bay Buccaneer was a number one overall draft pick and just led the league in passing yards and finished second in touchdowns. Cam Newton is also a former number one overall pick and has an MVP and Super Bowl appearance in his resume. Andy Dalton has led his team to the playoffs on five separate occasions. Despite the success these three have had, they have been unable to land starting jobs.
Every year new quarterbacks enter the league and are expected to become the face of their respective franchise. Three quarterbacks went in the first round of the 2017 draft (Mitch Tribusky, Patrick Mahomes, and Deshaun Watson). Mahomes and Watson have emerged as two of the best quarterbacks in the league and Tribusky took the Bears to the playoffs in his second season. Four of the five quarterbacks who went in the first round in 2018 will be starting for the teams that drafted them this upcoming season. Additionally, the Cardinals, Giants, and Broncos all believe they found their franchise quarterbacks in the 2019 draft. Four quarterbacks went in the first round in last week's draft and recent history says most of them should be starters for a while.
Jake Fromm and Jacob Eason weren't selected until the 4th and 5th rounds respectively this past weekend. At one point in time, Eason was projected as a first-round pick and Fromm was extremely close to winning a national title as a true freshman. These two fell in the draft because of a lack of quarterback-needy teams around the league.
Most teams around the league either have a young quarterback who they want to develop or a player who's had success so they don't need to find a new quarterback.
Teams with a quarterback that has less than three years of NFL experience who was taken in the first round or has played well: Miami Dolphins, Buffalo Bills, New York Jets, Baltimore Ravens, Cincinnati Bengals, Cleveland Browns, Jacksonville Jaguars, Denver Broncos, Los Angeles Chargers, Washington Redskins, New York Giants and Arizona Cardinals.
Teams with a quarterback who's had success: Pittsburgh Steelers, Houston Texans, Indianapolis Colts, Tennessee Titans, Las Vegas Raiders, Kansas City Chiefs, Dallas Cowboys, Philadelphia Eagles, Chicago Bears, Green Bay Packers, Detroit Lions, Minnesota Vikings New Orleans Saints, Atlanta Falcons, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Carolina Panthers, Seattle Seahawks, San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams.
31 of the 32 NFL teams made one of those two lists. The lone team that didn't are the New England Patriots, who are expected to start Jared Stidham, a 4th round pick in 2019 who has never started an NFL game.
Are there any teams that will be in the market for a quarterback? Teams like the Saints, Buccaneers, Colts, and Steelers with aging players at the position could be looking for a new quarterback if their current one retires at the end of the upcoming season. Also, the Bears and Raiders have quarterbacks who have had success but haven't been the most consistent. If Derek Carr and Mitch Tribusky struggle this season their current teams will likely look to replace them. Also, the likely number one overall pick in the 2021 draft is Trevor Lawrence, who many feel is a taller, more athletic version of Peyton Manning. Unless the team picking first overall knows they already have their quarterback of the future, they will keep the pick and select Lawrence.
Most teams in the NFL feel comfortable with their current quarterback situation. It's harder for quarterbacks to obtain a starting job because there aren't many openings. If you aren't good enough, teams won't hesitate to move on from you because there are plenty of quarterbacks to choose from. Is this the first time there's been more supply than demand at the quarterback position?